Auxerre vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 4 May, 17:15
Auxerre
12 Full time
Le Havre
Auxerre 1–2 Le Havre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 22%
Away 27%

💡 Auxerre are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1512 v 1384 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index WWLLW v WWLLD Auxerre 1.8 · Le Havre 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Auxerre v Le Havre

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Why we predict this

  • Auxerre is the stronger side on Power Rating (1512 vs 1384).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Auxerre
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Le Havre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreWWLLW1.8 ppg
Le HavreWWLLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1512
Le Havre1384
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 27% · 21%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning67% · 14% · 19%

AI match preview

Auxerre hosts Le Havre in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight 51% chance of victory, according to model predictions, with a moderate confidence level of 57 out of 100. The expected goals suggest a modest offensive edge for Auxerre (1.66) over Le Havre (0.98), yet the most probable scoreline remains a 1-1 draw. With just under half the matches projected to exceed 2.5 goals and a 52% chance both teams score, fans should anticipate a competitive encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 0.98

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Auxerre 1–2 Le Havre
Sept 2024 Le Havre 3–1 Auxerre