Brest vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 4 May, 17:15
Brest
10 Full time
Montpellier
Brest 1–0 Montpellier

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (74%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 74%
Draw 15%
Away 10%

💡 Brest are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 90.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 90.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1292 Brest rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1493 vs 1292).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestWWDLL1.4 ppg
MontpellierLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1493
Montpellier1292
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model79% · 16% · 6%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning84% · 11% · 6%

AI match preview

Brest enters this Ligue 1 clash as strong favorites with a 74% chance of securing a home win, supported by a projected 2.49 expected goals compared to Montpellier's 0.57. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline is the most probable outcome, with a 59% likelihood of the match producing over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance for both teams to score. Remember, these are statistical projections and not certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.49 – 0.57

Most likely score

2-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Brest 1–0 Montpellier
Nov 2024 Montpellier 3–1 Brest