Lyon vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sun 4 May, 17:15
Lyon
12 Full time
Lens
Lyon 1–2 Lens

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 20%
Away 19%

💡 Lyon are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1593 v 1472 Lyon rated higher
Form Index LWWLW v LWLWL Lyon 1.8 · Lens 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Lens

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1593 vs 1472).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonLWWLW1.8 ppg
LensLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1593
Lens1472
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 28% · 30%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning56% · 25% · 20%

AI match preview

Lyon hosts Lens in a Ligue 1 clash where the model favors a home win with a 60% probability, though a draw and away victory remain plausible at 20% and 19%, respectively. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with Lyon slightly ahead at 1.50 to Lens’ 1.25, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. With over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%, this match promises competitive action—remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.25

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Lyon 1–2 Lens
Sept 2024 Lens 0–0 Lyon