Auxerre vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 10 May, 21:00
Auxerre
11 Full time
Nantes
Auxerre 1–1 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 24%
Away 29%

💡 Auxerre are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1496 v 1435 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index WLLWL v WLDDL Auxerre 1.2 · Nantes 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Auxerre is the stronger side on Power Rating (1496 vs 1435).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Auxerre
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreWLLWL1.2 ppg
NantesWLDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1496
Nantes1435
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 25% · 17%
Power Rating57% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning65% · 19% · 16%

AI match preview

Auxerre hosts Nantes in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a 47% chance of victory, narrowly edging the draw at 24% and an away win at 29%. The model projects 1.84 expected goals for Auxerre against 0.94 for Nantes, with a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite Auxerre's slight edge. Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring are each predicted at 53%, highlighting a moderately open game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.84 – 0.94

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Auxerre 1–1 Nantes
Aug 2024 Nantes 2–0 Auxerre