Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 10 May, 21:00
Le Havre
13 Full time
Marseille
Le Havre 1–3 Marseille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (64%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 21%
Away 64%

💡 Marseille are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1401 v 1558 Marseille rated higher
Form Index WLLDW v WLWWD Le Havre 1.4 · Marseille 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1558 vs 1401).
  • Marseille is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreWLLDW1.4 ppg
MarseilleWLWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1401
Marseille1558
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 15% · 77%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning4% · 27% · 70%

AI match preview

Marseille heads to Le Havre as strong favorites with a 64% probability of securing an away win, supported by a confidence rating of 76/100. The model predicts a match leaning towards a 0-2 scoreline, reflecting Marseille's expected dominance with 2.90 expected goals against Le Havre's 0.91. With a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% likelihood of both teams scoring, this encounter promises attacking action—but remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.91 – 2.90

Most likely score

0-2

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Le Havre 1–3 Marseille
Jan 2025 Marseille 5–1 Le Havre