Nantes vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 17 May, 21:00
Nantes
30 Full time
Montpellier
Nantes 3–0 Montpellier

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 20%
Away 15%

💡 Nantes are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1439 v 1284 Nantes rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 0.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nantes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1439 vs 1284).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nantes
Form Index
Nantes
Goal expectation
Nantes
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesLDDLD0.6 ppg
MontpellierLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1439
Montpellier1284
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 29% · 10%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning76% · 10% · 14%

AI match preview

Nantes hold a strong 65% chance of securing a home win against Montpellier, with the model projecting a low-scoring 1-0 outcome based on expected goals of 1.44 to 0.45. A draw or an away victory are less likely, at 20% and 15% respectively, while the probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring sit at a modest 29%. These projections highlight Nantes' defensive edge, but as always, outcomes can vary—please enjoy responsibly and gamble only if you're 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 0.45

Most likely score

1-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Nantes 3–0 Montpellier
Aug 2024 Montpellier 1–3 Nantes