Paris SG vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 17 May, 21:00
Paris SG
31 Full time
Auxerre
Paris SG 3–1 Auxerre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (82%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 82%
Draw 10%
Away 7%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1702 v 1492 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index WDLLW v LLWLD Paris SG 1.4 · Auxerre 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Paris SG v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1702 vs 1492).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGWDLLW1.4 ppg
AuxerreLLWLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1702
Auxerre1492
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model75% · 16% · 10%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 15%
Machine-learning91% · 6% · 3%

AI match preview

Paris SG are strong favorites to secure a home win against Auxerre, with an 82% probability and a high confidence level of 95/100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 2.91 for Paris SG and 1.05 for Auxerre, suggesting a competitive match likely to end 2-1. With a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.91 – 1.05

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 76%

Under 24%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Paris SG 3–1 Auxerre
Dec 2024 Auxerre 0–0 Paris SG