St Etienne vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 17 May, 21:00
St Etienne
23 Full time
Toulouse
St Etienne 2–3 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 30%
Away 38%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1411 v 1478 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1478 vs 1411).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
St Etienne
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
St Etienne

Green = favours St Etienne · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St EtienneDWLLW1.4 ppg
ToulouseLLDWD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
St Etienne1411
Toulouse1478
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 27% · 51%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning12% · 50% · 38%

AI match preview

St Etienne and Toulouse face off in a Ligue 1 clash with the model slightly favoring an away win at 38%, while a draw holds a 30% probability and is the chosen pick with moderate confidence. The match is expected to be competitive with anticipated goals of 1.10 for the home side and 1.74 for the visitors, pointing towards an engaging 1-1 scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just above 50%, this game promises attacking intent, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.74

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 St Etienne 2–3 Toulouse
Dec 2024 Toulouse 2–1 St Etienne