Strasbourg vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 24/25 · Sat 17 May, 21:00
Strasbourg
23 Full time
Le Havre
Strasbourg 2–3 Le Havre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 18%
Away 17%

💡 Strasbourg are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 78.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 78.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1591 v 1389 Strasbourg rated higher
Form Index DDWWL v LLDWL Strasbourg 1.6 · Le Havre 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Strasbourg v Le Havre

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Why we predict this

  • Strasbourg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1591 vs 1389).
  • Strasbourg is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Strasbourg
Form Index
Strasbourg
Goal expectation
Strasbourg
Home advantage
Strasbourg

Green = favours Strasbourg · Blue = favours Le Havre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StrasbourgDDWWL1.6 ppg
Le HavreLLDWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Strasbourg1591
Le Havre1389
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 24% · 19%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning72% · 11% · 17%

AI match preview

Strasbourg enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 65% chance of victory, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.03 compared to Le Havre's 1.12. While the model favors a home win with 78/100 confidence, a draw remains a plausible outcome, especially given the most likely score projection of 1-1. Fans can also anticipate a lively encounter, with a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance that both teams will find the net; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.03 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Strasbourg 2–3 Le Havre
Dec 2024 Le Havre 0–3 Strasbourg