Paris SG vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Fri 16 Jan, 20:00
Paris SG
30 Full time
Lille
Paris SG 3–0 Lille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (70%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 70%
Draw 16%
Away 14%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 84.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1618 v 1544 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index WLWWW v WWWWL Paris SG 2.4 · Lille 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1618 vs 1544).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGWLWWW2.4 ppg
LilleWWWWL2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1618
Lille1544
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 21% · 16%
Power Rating59% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning73% · 16% · 11%

AI match preview

Paris SG are strong favorites to secure a home victory against Lille, with a 70% probability and an expected scoreline of 2-1. The model projects an open game with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood that both teams will score. These projections are based on statistical analysis—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.27 – 1.08

Most likely score

2-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Paris SG 3–0 Lille
Oct 2025 Lille 1–1 Paris SG