Lens vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 16:00
Lens
10 Full time
Auxerre
Lens 1–0 Auxerre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (72%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 72%
Draw 17%
Away 11%

💡 Lens are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1617 v 1416 Lens rated higher
Form Index WWWWW v DDWLL Lens 3.0 · Auxerre 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lens v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1617 vs 1416).
  • Lens is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Lens

Green = favours Lens · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LensWWWWW3.0 ppg
AuxerreDDWLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lens1617
Auxerre1416
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model78% · 17% · 4%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning88% · 9% · 3%

AI match preview

Lens looks poised to capitalize on their strong home advantage against Auxerre, with a 72% probability of securing a win and an expected 2.19 goals scored. Auxerre faces an uphill battle, projected to net only 0.39 goals, making a 2-0 scoreline the most likely outcome. While there's a moderate chance of the match staying under 2.5 goals and a low probability of both teams scoring, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.19 – 0.39

Most likely score

2-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Bollaert-Delelis Lens, France Capacity 38,223 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Lens 1–0 Auxerre
Oct 2025 Auxerre 1–2 Lens