Toulouse vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 18:00
Toulouse
51 Full time
Nice
Toulouse 5–1 Nice

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 23%
Away 24%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1502 v 1445 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index LDWWL v LLLLD Toulouse 1.4 · Nice 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Nice

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1502 vs 1445).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLDWWL1.4 ppg
NiceLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1502
Nice1445
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 24% · 24%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning65% · 17% · 19%

AI match preview

Toulouse holds a slight advantage with a 53% chance of securing a home win against Nice, as projected by the model. Both teams are expected to find the net, with a 64% probability for goals at both ends and over 2.5 goals in total, suggesting an open and competitive match. While a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.99 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Toulouse 5–1 Nice
Aug 2025 Nice 0–1 Toulouse