Nantes vs Paris FC Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 18 Jan, 16:15
Nantes
12 Full time
Paris FC
Nantes 1–2 Paris FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 25%
Away 35%

💡 Nantes have a slight edge — leaning Nantes, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1436 v 1441 Paris FC rated higher
Form Index DLLLW v LDDLL Nantes 0.8 · Paris FC 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1436 vs 1441).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Nantes
Goal expectation
Paris FC
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Paris FC. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesDLLLW0.8 ppg
Paris FCLDDLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1436
Paris FC1441
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 28% · 45%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning61% · 11% · 28%

AI match preview

Nantes and Paris FC are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 40%, though a draw or away victory remain well within reach. The expected goals suggest a tight match, likely ending around 1-1, with a moderate chance of both teams scoring and just over half the probability for more than 2.5 goals. Remember, these projections are based on statistical analysis and should be considered with caution—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.62

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Nantes 1–2 Paris FC
Oct 2025 Paris FC 1–2 Nantes