Auxerre vs Paris SG Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Fri 23 Jan, 19:00
Auxerre
01 Full time
Paris SG
Auxerre 0–1 Paris SG

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (67%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 14%
Draw 18%
Away 67%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 80.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1412 v 1629 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index DWLLL v LWWWW Auxerre 0.8 · Paris SG 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1629 vs 1412).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Paris SG. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreDWLLL0.8 ppg
Paris SGLWWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1412
Paris SG1629
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 26% · 56%
Power Rating26% · 13% · 61%
Machine-learning7% · 16% · 77%

AI match preview

Auxerre host Paris SG in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a strong 67% chance of victory according to model projections, with an 80.7/100 confidence level. Despite the away side's advantage, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter with expected goals at 0.99 for Auxerre and 1.84 for Paris SG. There is also a balanced 54% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, making this an intriguing matchup to watch. Remember, these are statistical projections; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.84

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Auxerre 0–1 Paris SG
Sept 2025 Paris SG 2–0 Auxerre