Metz vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 25 Jan, 16:15
Metz
25 Full time
Lyon
Metz 2–5 Lyon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 26%
Away 52%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1415 v 1548 Lyon rated higher
Form Index LLLDL v WLWWW Metz 0.2 · Lyon 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Metz v Lyon

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1548 vs 1415).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Metz

Green = favours Metz · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MetzLLLDL0.2 ppg
LyonWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Metz1415
Lyon1548
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 33% · 44%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning21% · 26% · 53%

AI match preview

Metz hosts Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the model gives Lyon a 52% chance to win, though a draw is slightly more probable than a Metz victory. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with a 1-1 scoreline most likely despite Lyon’s edge in the 1X2 market. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43% probability for both teams to score, this match could see a cautious approach from both sides. Remember, these are statistical projections; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.86 – 1.25

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Metz 2–5 Lyon
Aug 2025 Lyon 3–0 Metz