✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a draw.
What our model predicted
💡 Toulouse are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.
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Why we predict this
- Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1533 vs 1406).
- Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
- Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
- All 3 model components agree on this outcome.
What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours
Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.
AI match preview
Toulouse enter this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 61% probability to secure a home win against Auxerre, backed by an expected goals advantage of 2.04 to 0.74. The model favors a 2-0 scoreline, reflecting Toulouse’s solid defensive edge and attacking efficiency. While just over half of simulations suggest more than 2.5 goals, there remains a balanced chance for both teams to score, so outcomes could vary; remember these projections are statistical estimates and gamble responsibly (18+).
Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.
Match predictions
Expected goals
2.04 – 0.74
Most likely score
2-0
13% likely
Over/Under 2.5
Over 53%
Under 47%
Both teams to score
Yes 47%
No 53%
Value bet vs odds
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