Metz vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Fri 6 Feb, 19:45
Metz
00 Full time
Lille
Metz 0–0 Lille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (57%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 22%
Away 57%

💡 Lille are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1393 v 1501 Lille rated higher
Form Index LDLLL v WLLLL Metz 0.2 · Lille 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Metz v Lille

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1501 vs 1393).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Metz

Green = favours Metz · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MetzLDLLL0.2 ppg
LilleWLLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Metz1393
Lille1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 24% · 55%
Power Rating34% · 23% · 43%
Machine-learning25% · 20% · 55%

AI match preview

Metz hosts Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 57% chance of victory according to the model, though a draw is nearly as likely at 22%. The match is expected to be relatively open, with an anticipated 3.28 total goals and a 63% probability both teams will score, making a 1-1 draw the most probable exact scoreline. Fans should remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 2.05

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Metz 0–0 Lille
Oct 2025 Lille 6–1 Metz