Brest vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 18:00
Brest
20 Full time
Lorient
Brest 2–0 Lorient

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 28%
Away 31%

💡 Brest have a slight edge — leaning Brest, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1466 v 1520 Lorient rated higher
Form Index LWLLD v DDWWW Brest 0.8 · Lorient 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Lorient

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Why we predict this

  • Lorient is the stronger side on Power Rating (1520 vs 1466).
  • Lorient is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lorient
Form Index
Lorient
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Lorient. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestLWLLD0.8 ppg
LorientDDWWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1466
Lorient1520
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 31% · 22%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning38% · 22% · 40%

AI match preview

Brest and Lorient face off in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain well within reach. The model predicts a tight contest with an expected goals tally favoring Brest at 1.36 to 0.87, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With only a 38% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance both teams score, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 0.87

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Brest 2–0 Lorient
Oct 2025 Lorient 3–3 Brest