Auxerre vs Paris FC Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 8 Feb, 16:15
Auxerre
00 Full time
Paris FC
Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 26%
Away 34%

💡 Auxerre have a slight edge — leaning Auxerre, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1411 v 1455 Paris FC rated higher
Form Index LLLLD v LLWDD Auxerre 0.2 · Paris FC 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1455 vs 1411).
  • Paris FC is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris FC
Form Index
Paris FC
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Paris FC. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreLLLLD0.2 ppg
Paris FCLLWDD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1411
Paris FC1455
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 31% · 35%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning51% · 13% · 36%

AI match preview

Auxerre hosts Paris FC in a Ligue 1 clash where the model gives a slight edge to the home side with a 40% chance of victory, closely followed by a 34% probability for an away win and a 26% likelihood of a draw. Both teams are expected to score, with BTTS at 50%, and the match is projected to be tight, most likely ending 1-1 despite Auxerre's marginally higher chance to win. Over 2.5 goals looks less probable at 43%, suggesting a moderately low-scoring encounter; please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.21

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC
Nov 2025 Paris FC 1–1 Auxerre