Rennes vs Paris SG Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Fri 13 Feb, 18:00
Rennes
31 Full time
Paris SG
Rennes 3–1 Paris SG

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (60%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 19%
Draw 20%
Away 60%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1508 v 1660 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index WDLLL v WWWWW Rennes 0.8 · Paris SG 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1660 vs 1508).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Rennes

Green = favours Rennes · Blue = favours Paris SG. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RennesWDLLL0.8 ppg
Paris SGWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Rennes1508
Paris SG1660
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 27% · 43%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning17% · 26% · 57%

AI match preview

Rennes welcome Paris SG in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 60% chance of victory, backed by a 71.2/100 confidence rating. Despite the away win being favored, the model also suggests a 20% probability of a draw, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline based on expected goals of 1.37 for Rennes and 1.66 for PSG. With a 62% chance both teams will score and a 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, this fixture promises competitive action; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.66

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Rennes 3–1 Paris SG
Dec 2025 Paris SG 5–0 Rennes