Lille vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 14 Feb, 18:00
Lille
11 Full time
Brest
Lille 1–1 Brest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 22%
Away 21%

💡 Lille are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1499 v 1482 Lille rated higher
Form Index LLLLD v WLLDW Lille 0.2 · Brest 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lille v Brest

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1499 vs 1482).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleLLLLD0.2 ppg
BrestWLLDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1499
Brest1482
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 24% · 22%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning64% · 17% · 20%

AI match preview

Lille enters this Ligue 1 clash with a 58% projected chance to secure a home win against Brest, backed by a confidence level of 67.4 out of 100. The model forecasts an expected goals tally of 1.97 for Lille and 1.22 for Brest, suggesting a competitive encounter where a 1-1 draw remains the most probable exact score. With over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each holding a 62% likelihood, fans can anticipate an engaging match, though these are statistical projections and all betting should be approached responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.22

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Lille 1–1 Brest
Aug 2025 Brest 3–3 Lille