Toulouse vs Paris FC Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 18:00
Toulouse
11 Full time
Paris FC
Toulouse 1–1 Paris FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 23%
Away 23%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1507 v 1440 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index WWDLL v WDDDL Toulouse 1.4 · Paris FC 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Paris FC

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Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1507 vs 1440).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Paris FC. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseWWDLL1.4 ppg
Paris FCWDDDL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1507
Paris FC1440
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 27% · 28%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning80% · 8% · 12%

AI match preview

Toulouse holds a 54% probability of securing a home victory against Paris FC, with the model indicating a moderate confidence level of 62.6 out of 100. The expected goals suggest a closely contested match, with 1.63 for Toulouse and 1.24 for Paris FC, and the most likely scoreline predicted as a 1-1 draw. There is a 55% chance the game will see over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability both teams will score; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Toulouse 1–1 Paris FC
Dec 2025 Paris FC 0–3 Toulouse