Nice vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 22 Feb, 16:15
Nice
33 Full time
Lorient
Nice 3–3 Lorient

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 28%
Away 32%

💡 Nice have a slight edge — leaning Nice, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1442 v 1517 Lorient rated higher
Form Index LWDDL v WWWLW Nice 1.0 · Lorient 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nice v Lorient

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Why we predict this

  • Lorient is the stronger side on Power Rating (1517 vs 1442).
  • Lorient is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lorient
Form Index
Lorient
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Lorient. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceLWDDL1.0 ppg
LorientWWWLW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1442
Lorient1517
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 32% · 21%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning28% · 27% · 46%

AI match preview

Nice and Lorient face off in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 40% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model projects a tight contest with expected goals favoring Nice 1.29 to 0.80, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% probability of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 0.80

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Nice 3–3 Lorient
Nov 2025 Lorient 3–1 Nice