Strasbourg vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 22 Feb, 19:45
Strasbourg
31 Full time
Lyon
Strasbourg 3–1 Lyon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 27%
Away 34%

💡 Strasbourg have a slight edge — leaning Strasbourg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1514 v 1587 Lyon rated higher
Form Index WWLLD v WWWWW Strasbourg 1.4 · Lyon 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Strasbourg v Lyon

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1587 vs 1514).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Strasbourg
Home advantage
Strasbourg

Green = favours Strasbourg · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StrasbourgWWLLD1.4 ppg
LyonWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Strasbourg1514
Lyon1587
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 31% · 26%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning32% · 25% · 43%

AI match preview

Strasbourg hosts Lyon in a tightly contested Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 39% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain well within reach. The model predicts a closely matched game with expected goals favoring Strasbourg 1.32 to 0.99, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring nearly equally likely, fans should anticipate a competitive encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 0.99

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Strasbourg 3–1 Lyon
Oct 2025 Lyon 2–1 Strasbourg