Lorient vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 1 Mar, 16:15
Lorient
22 Full time
Auxerre
Lorient 2–2 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 24%
Away 21%

💡 Lorient are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1517 v 1412 Lorient rated higher
Form Index WWLWD v LDDWL Lorient 2.0 · Auxerre 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lorient v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Lorient is the stronger side on Power Rating (1517 vs 1412).
  • Lorient is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lorient
Form Index
Lorient
Goal expectation
Lorient
Home advantage
Lorient

Green = favours Lorient · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LorientWWLWD2.0 ppg
AuxerreLDDWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lorient1517
Auxerre1412
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 24% · 15%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning71% · 20% · 8%

AI match preview

Lorient enters this Ligue 1 clash with a 55% probability of securing a home victory against Auxerre, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.93 to 0.89. Despite the home win edge, the model suggests a closely contested match with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 and a 24% chance of a draw. Fans can anticipate a moderately open game, with just over half the simulations indicating over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring; remember these projections are statistical estimates and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.93 – 0.89

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Lorient 2–2 Auxerre
Aug 2025 Auxerre 1–0 Lorient