Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 7 Mar, 20:05
Toulouse
01 Full time
Marseille
Toulouse 0–1 Marseille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 25%
Away 42%

💡 Marseille have a slight edge — leaning Marseille, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1495 v 1565 Marseille rated higher
Form Index DLLDL v DLDLW Toulouse 0.4 · Marseille 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Marseille

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1565 vs 1495).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseDLLDL0.4 ppg
MarseilleDLDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1495
Marseille1565
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 26% · 39%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning39% · 16% · 46%

AI match preview

Toulouse host Marseille in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 42% chance of victory, though a draw remains a plausible outcome at 25%. Both teams are projected to score, with an expected goals tally close between them (1.57 for Toulouse and 1.66 for Marseille), making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities above 60%, fans can anticipate an open game; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.66

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Toulouse 0–1 Marseille
Nov 2025 Marseille 2–2 Toulouse