Lyon vs Paris FC Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 8 Mar, 19:45
Lyon
11 Full time
Paris FC
Lyon 1–1 Paris FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 21%
Away 18%

💡 Lyon are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1561 v 1453 Lyon rated higher
Form Index WWWLL v DDLDW Lyon 1.8 · Paris FC 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Paris FC

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1453).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Paris FC. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWWWLL1.8 ppg
Paris FCDDLDW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1561
Paris FC1453
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 28% · 14%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning84% · 8% · 8%

AI match preview

Lyon enter this Ligue 1 clash with a 60% chance of securing a home win against Paris FC, supported by a projected 1.62 expected goals to their opponent's 0.70. The model favors a tight 1-0 victory for Lyon, with draws and away wins less likely at 21% and 18%, respectively. With only a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, this match could be a closely contested affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.62 – 0.70

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Lyon 1–1 Paris FC
Oct 2025 Paris FC 3–3 Lyon