Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Fri 13 Mar, 19:45
Marseille
10 Full time
Auxerre
Marseille 1–0 Auxerre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (70%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 70%
Draw 18%
Away 12%

💡 Marseille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 85.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 85.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1575 v 1419 Marseille rated higher
Form Index LDLWW v DWLDD Marseille 1.4 · Auxerre 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Marseille v Auxerre

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1575 vs 1419).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Marseille

Green = favours Marseille · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MarseilleLDLWW1.4 ppg
AuxerreDWLDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Marseille1575
Auxerre1419
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model73% · 18% · 10%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning82% · 14% · 4%

AI match preview

Marseille enter this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 70% probability of securing a home win against Auxerre, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.55 to 0.87 in their favor. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a 66% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability for both teams to score. These projections highlight Marseille's advantage, but as always, remember these are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.55 – 0.87

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Marseille 1–0 Auxerre
Nov 2025 Auxerre 0–1 Marseille