Metz vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 15 Mar, 16:15
Metz
34 Full time
Toulouse
Metz 3–4 Toulouse

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 27%
Away 51%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1356 v 1485 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Metz v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1485 vs 1356).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Metz

Green = favours Metz · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MetzDLLLL0.2 ppg
ToulouseLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Metz1356
Toulouse1485
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 30% · 53%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning14% · 26% · 60%

AI match preview

Metz host Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a 51% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a 27% probability of a draw and just 23% for a home win. The expected goals suggest Toulouse may edge the contest 1-0, as the model anticipates a relatively low-scoring game with only a 35% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance both teams will score. These projections highlight Toulouse as slight favorites, but as always, outcomes can vary—please remember these are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.69 – 1.42

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Metz 3–4 Toulouse
Oct 2025 Toulouse 4–0 Metz