Toulouse vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 21 Mar, 16:00
Toulouse
10 Full time
Lorient
Toulouse 1–0 Lorient

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 26%
Away 26%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1494 v 1526 Lorient rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Lorient

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1494 vs 1526).
  • Lorient is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lorient
Form Index
Lorient
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Lorient. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLDLLW0.8 ppg
LorientWDDDW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1494
Lorient1526
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 28% · 22%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning44% · 18% · 38%

AI match preview

Toulouse marginally lead the statistical projections with a 48% chance of victory against Lorient, who hold a 26% likelihood of an away win in this Ligue 1 clash. The model anticipates a closely contested match with an expected goal tally favoring Toulouse 1.57 to 0.99, yet the most probable final score is a 1-1 draw. With just over half the simulations predicting both teams to score and under half expecting more than 2.5 goals, this encounter could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 0.99

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Toulouse 1–0 Lorient
Nov 2025 Lorient 1–1 Toulouse