Auxerre vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 21 Mar, 18:00
Auxerre
30 Full time
Brest
Auxerre 3–0 Brest

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (36%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 28%
Away 36%

💡 Auxerre have a slight edge — leaning Auxerre, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1414 v 1510 Brest rated higher
Form Index 1 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1510 vs 1414).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreWLDDL1 ppg
BrestDWWWL2 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1414
Brest1510
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 34% · 35%
Power Rating35% · 24% · 41%
Machine-learning28% · 18% · 54%

AI match preview

Auxerre and Brest face off in a Ligue 1 clash with the model showing an evenly matched contest, each side holding a 36% chance of victory and a 28% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals tally is close, around 1.01 for Auxerre and 1.08 for Brest, suggesting a tight game with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance both teams scoring, this match could hinge on narrow margins; remember, these projections are statistical and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.01 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Auxerre 3–0 Brest
Jan 2026 Brest 2–0 Auxerre