Lyon vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 22 Mar, 14:00
Lyon
12 Full time
Monaco
Lyon 1–2 Monaco

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 24%
Away 31%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1554 v 1553 Lyon rated higher
Form Index 1 v 3 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Monaco

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1554 vs 1553).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWLLDD1 ppg
MonacoWWWWW3 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1554
Monaco1553
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 28% · 19%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning69% · 12% · 20%

AI match preview

Lyon host Monaco in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a 46% chance of victory, though a draw remains a notable 24% possibility. The model projects Lyon to edge the scoring with 1.58 expected goals against Monaco’s 0.84, yet the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1. With under 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score just under 50%, this encounter promises a competitive contest; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.84

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Lyon 1–2 Monaco
Jan 2026 Monaco 1–3 Lyon