Marseille vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 22 Mar, 16:15
Marseille
12 Full time
Lille
Marseille 1–2 Lille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 22%
Away 23%

💡 Marseille are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1580 v 1528 Marseille rated higher
Form Index 2 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1580 vs 1528).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Marseille

Green = favours Marseille · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MarseilleDLWWW2 ppg
LilleDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Marseille1580
Lille1528
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 23% · 24%
Power Rating55% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning68% · 18% · 14%

AI match preview

Marseille host Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a 55% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a 22% probability of a draw and 23% for an away win. The expected goals suggest an open game with Marseille slightly ahead at 2.21 to Lille's 1.44, though the most likely scoreline remains a 1-1 draw. With a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an entertaining encounter; however, remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.21 – 1.44

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Marseille 1–2 Lille
Dec 2025 Lille 1–0 Marseille