Paris SG vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Fri 3 Apr, 20:45
Paris SG
31 Full time
Toulouse
Paris SG 3–1 Toulouse

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (73%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 73%
Draw 16%
Away 12%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 89.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 89.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1641 v 1504 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1641 vs 1504).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGLWWLW1.8 ppg
ToulouseDLLWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1641
Toulouse1504
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 25% · 13%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning87% · 9% · 5%

AI match preview

Paris SG enter this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 73% probability of securing a home win against Toulouse, backed by a confidence level of 89/100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.86 for Paris SG and 0.75 for Toulouse, with a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome. While the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring stand at 49% and 46% respectively, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.86 – 0.75

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Paris SG 3–1 Toulouse
Aug 2025 Toulouse 3–6 Paris SG