Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 5 Apr, 17:15
Le Havre
11 Full time
Auxerre
Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 28%
Away 27%

💡 Le Havre are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1439 v 1435 Le Havre rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Le Havre v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1439 vs 1435).
  • Auxerre is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Le Havre
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreLLLDL0.2 ppg
AuxerreLDDLW1 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1439
Auxerre1435
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 34% · 17%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning59% · 19% · 22%

AI match preview

Le Havre hosts Auxerre in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 45% chance of victory, while draws and away wins are closely matched at 28% and 27%, respectively. The model predicts a low-scoring encounter with an expected goals tally of 1.18 for Le Havre and 0.60 for Auxerre, and a 0-0 draw as the most probable scoreline despite the home win being the favored outcome. With only a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance both teams score, fans should anticipate a tight battle; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 0.60

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre
Oct 2025 Auxerre 0–1 Le Havre