Metz vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 5 Apr, 17:15
Metz
00 Full time
Nantes
Metz 0–0 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 27%
Away 35%

💡 Metz have a slight edge — leaning Metz, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1354 v 1371 Nantes rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1354 vs 1371).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nantes
Form Index
Nantes
Goal expectation
Nantes
Home advantage
Metz

Green = favours Metz · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MetzLLLLD0.2 ppg
NantesLWLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Metz1354
Nantes1371
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 31% · 38%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning54% · 19% · 27%

AI match preview

Metz and Nantes are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 38%, though a draw or away victory remain realistic outcomes. Both teams are expected to score, with a nearly even chance of a 1-1 result given the projected goals of 1.10 for Metz and 1.26 for Nantes. While the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is moderate at 42%, the almost 50% chance of both teams scoring suggests an open game; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Metz 0–0 Nantes
Nov 2025 Nantes 0–2 Metz