Auxerre vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 11 Apr, 19:00
Auxerre
00 Full time
Nantes
Auxerre 0–0 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 24%
Away 22%

💡 Auxerre are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1437 v 1372 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Auxerre is the stronger side on Power Rating (1437 vs 1372).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Auxerre
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreDDLWD1.2 ppg
NantesWLLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1437
Nantes1372
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 37% · 26%
Power Rating57% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning81% · 8% · 11%

AI match preview

Auxerre holds a slight edge over Nantes with a 54% chance of a home win, supported by expected goals of 0.97 to 0.78, suggesting a closely contested match. Despite the model favoring Auxerre, the most probable scoreline remains a goalless draw, reflecting a tight defensive battle. With only a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, this encounter is projected to be low-scoring; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.97 – 0.78

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Auxerre 0–0 Nantes
Aug 2025 Nantes 1–0 Auxerre