Toulouse vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 17:15
Toulouse
04 Full time
Lille
Toulouse 0–4 Lille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 26%
Away 41%

💡 Lille have a slight edge — leaning Lille, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1496 v 1562 Lille rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1496).
  • Lille is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLLWWL1.2 ppg
LilleWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1496
Lille1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 28% · 40%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning42% · 15% · 42%

AI match preview

Toulouse hosts Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, while a draw is also a notable possibility at 26%. The model forecasts a competitive match with expected goals close on both sides (1.38 for Toulouse and 1.54 for Lille) and most likely scoreline pegged at 1-1. With over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring predicted at 60%, this game promises attacking intent, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.54

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Toulouse 0–4 Lille
Sept 2025 Lille 2–1 Toulouse