Lyon vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 20:45
Lyon
20 Full time
Lorient
Lyon 2–0 Lorient

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 22%
Away 20%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1540 v 1513 Lyon rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1540 vs 1513).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lorient
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Lorient. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonLDDLD0.6 ppg
LorientDDWLD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1540
Lorient1513
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 28% · 13%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning64% · 16% · 21%

AI match preview

Lyon enter this Ligue 1 clash with a 58% probability of securing a home win against Lorient, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.59 to 0.61. The model suggests a tight encounter, with a 1-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome and relatively low chances for over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring, each at 38%. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering any betting decisions (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.59 – 0.61

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Lyon 2–0 Lorient
Dec 2025 Lorient 1–0 Lyon