Monaco vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 19 Apr, 15:00
Monaco
22 Full time
Auxerre
Monaco 2–2 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 21%
Away 17%

💡 Monaco are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 75.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1554 v 1433 Monaco rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monaco v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1554 vs 1433).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Monaco

Green = favours Monaco · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonacoWWWWL2.4 ppg
AuxerreDLWDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Monaco1554
Auxerre1433
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 24% · 15%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning72% · 21% · 7%

AI match preview

Monaco enters this Ligue 1 clash with a solid 63% probability of securing a home win against Auxerre, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.96 to 0.88. Despite the home side’s edge, the model also highlights a notable 21% chance of a draw, with the most likely scoreline predicted as 1-1, suggesting a competitive encounter. With just over half the projections favoring over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could offer a balanced mix of offense and defense—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.96 – 0.88

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Louis II Monaco, France Capacity 18,523 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Monaco 2–2 Auxerre
Sept 2025 Auxerre 1–2 Monaco