Lyon vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 25 Apr, 15:00
Lyon
32 Full time
Auxerre
Lyon 3–2 Auxerre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 20%
Away 16%

💡 Lyon are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1568 v 1438 Lyon rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1568 vs 1438).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonDLDWW1.6 ppg
AuxerreLWDDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1568
Auxerre1438
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 27% · 11%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning85% · 9% · 5%

AI match preview

Lyon enters this Ligue 1 clash as clear favorites with a 65% probability of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.64 to 0.58 over Auxerre. The model suggests a tight contest, with a 1-0 scoreline the most likely outcome and relatively low chances for both teams to score or for the match to exceed 2.5 goals. As always, these projections reflect statistical probabilities and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 0.58

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Lyon 3–2 Auxerre
Nov 2025 Auxerre 0–0 Lyon