Toulouse vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 25 Apr, 21:05
Toulouse
22 Full time
Monaco
Toulouse 2–2 Monaco

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 23%
Away 49%

💡 Monaco are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1470 v 1549 Monaco rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Monaco

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1470).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseWWLLL1.2 ppg
MonacoWWWLD2 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1470
Monaco1549
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 27% · 37%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning32% · 16% · 52%

AI match preview

Toulouse hosts Monaco in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 49% chance of victory, slightly favored over a home win at 28% and a draw at 23%. Both teams are projected to score, with an expected goals tally close to 1.5 each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the away win prediction. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also probable outcomes, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.51

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Toulouse 2–2 Monaco
Oct 2025 Monaco 1–0 Toulouse