Lorient vs Strasbourg Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 15:00
Lorient
23 Full time
Strasbourg
Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 24%
Away 29%

💡 Lorient are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1517 v 1522 Strasbourg rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1517 vs 1522).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Strasbourg
Goal expectation
Lorient
Home advantage
Lorient

Green = favours Lorient · Blue = favours Strasbourg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LorientWLDLW1.4 ppg
StrasbourgDDWWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lorient1517
Strasbourg1522
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 24% · 31%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning53% · 23% · 23%

AI match preview

Lorient hosts Strasbourg in a Ligue 1 clash where the model gives the home side a 47% chance to win, slightly edging out a draw at 24% and an away win at 29%. With expected goals at 1.99 for Lorient and 1.64 for Strasbourg, the match could be closely contested, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. Fans can also anticipate an open game, with a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance both teams will score; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.99 – 1.64

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 71%

No 29%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg
Dec 2025 Strasbourg 0–0 Lorient