Le Havre vs Metz Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 17:15
Le Havre
44 Full time
Metz
Le Havre 4–4 Metz

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 18%
Away 16%

💡 Le Havre are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 78.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 78.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1440 v 1334 Le Havre rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Le Havre is the stronger side on Power Rating (1440 vs 1334).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Le Havre
Form Index
Le Havre
Goal expectation
Le Havre
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours Metz. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreDLDDD0.8 ppg
MetzLDDLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1440
Metz1334
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 25% · 13%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning86% · 7% · 7%

AI match preview

Le Havre enters this Ligue 1 clash with Metz as clear favorites, holding a 65% chance of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.80 compared to Metz’s 0.70. The model predicts a tight encounter, with a 1-0 scoreline the most likely outcome and under 2.5 goals favored given the 46% probability for over 2.5. While both teams scoring is less probable at 44%, these projections highlight key trends without guarantees—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.80 – 0.70

Most likely score

1-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Le Havre 4–4 Metz
Sept 2025 Metz 0–0 Le Havre