Marseille vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 20:45
Marseille
11 Full time
Nice
Marseille 1–1 Nice

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 19%
Away 17%

💡 Marseille are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1546 v 1421 Marseille rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1546 vs 1421).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Marseille

Green = favours Marseille · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MarseilleWLLWL1.2 ppg
NiceWLLDD1 ppg
Power Rating
Marseille1546
Nice1421
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model73% · 17% · 11%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning79% · 14% · 7%

AI match preview

Marseille enter this Ligue 1 clash against Nice with a solid 64% probability of securing a home win, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.80 to 1.07 favoring the hosts. The model suggests a closely contested match, with a 2-1 scoreline most likely and a strong 74% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Both teams finding the net is also probable at 63%, but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.80 – 1.07

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 74%

Under 26%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Marseille 1–1 Nice
Nov 2025 Nice 1–5 Marseille