Paris SG vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 2 May, 17:00
Paris SG
22 Full time
Lorient
Paris SG 2–2 Lorient

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (72%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 72%
Draw 16%
Away 12%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 88.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1650 v 1504 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1650 vs 1504).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Lorient. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGWWLWW2.4 ppg
LorientLDLWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1650
Lorient1504
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model78% · 16% · 5%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning76% · 16% · 8%

AI match preview

Paris SG enters this Ligue 1 clash as strong favorites with a 72% chance of securing a home win, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.37 compared to Lorient's 0.51. The model projects a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, with a moderate 55% likelihood of the match producing over 2.5 goals, while both teams scoring is less likely at 37%. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used for entertainment purposes; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.37 – 0.51

Most likely score

2-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Paris SG 2–2 Lorient
Oct 2025 Lorient 1–1 Paris SG