Nice vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sat 2 May, 21:05
Nice
11 Full time
Lens
Nice 1–1 Lens

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (60%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 21%
Away 60%

💡 Lens are favourites — about 60 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1426 v 1603 Lens rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1603 vs 1426).
  • Lens is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceLLDDD0.6 ppg
LensLWLWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1426
Lens1603
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 22% · 61%
Power Rating29% · 17% · 55%
Machine-learning11% · 17% · 73%

AI match preview

In this Ligue 1 clash, Lens are favored to take the win with a 60% probability, despite the model also suggesting a draw is slightly more likely as the most frequent scoreline is 1-1. The expected goals heavily favor the visitors at 2.22 compared to Nice’s 1.13, hinting at an open game with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% likelihood both teams will score. These projections highlight statistical tendencies but remember, football is unpredictable—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.13 – 2.22

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Nice 1–1 Lens
Dec 2025 Lens 2–0 Nice