Auxerre vs Angers Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 3 May, 17:15
Auxerre
31 Full time
Angers
Auxerre 3–1 Angers

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 26%
Away 23%

💡 Auxerre are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1433 v 1419 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Auxerre v Angers

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1433 vs 1419).
  • Auxerre is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Auxerre
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Angers. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreWDDDL1.2 ppg
AngersLDLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1433
Angers1419
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 38% · 20%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning52% · 21% · 27%

AI match preview

Auxerre holds a slight edge over Angers with a 51% chance of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 0.99 to 0.59. Despite this, the model suggests a low-scoring affair, with a 0-0 draw as the most probable result and only a 21% chance of surpassing 2.5 goals. Both teams finding the net looks unlikely, given a BTTS probability of just 30%. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 0.59

Most likely score

0-0

22% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 21%

Under 79%

Both teams to score

Yes 30%

No 70%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Auxerre 3–1 Angers
Nov 2025 Angers 2–0 Auxerre