Strasbourg vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 3 May, 17:15
Strasbourg
12 Full time
Toulouse
Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 23%
Away 32%

💡 Strasbourg have a slight edge — leaning Strasbourg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1535 v 1470 Strasbourg rated higher
Form Index 2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Strasbourg v Toulouse

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Strasbourg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1535 vs 1470).
  • Strasbourg is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Strasbourg
Form Index
Strasbourg
Goal expectation
Strasbourg
Home advantage
Strasbourg

Green = favours Strasbourg · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StrasbourgDWWLW2 ppg
ToulouseWLLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Strasbourg1535
Toulouse1470
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 30% · 25%
Power Rating57% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning70% · 14% · 16%

AI match preview

Strasbourg hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a 45% chance of victory, though a draw at 23% and an away win at 32% remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with Strasbourg slightly favored to score 1.43 goals to Toulouse's 1.00, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance both teams score, this match promises competitive play—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse
Dec 2025 Toulouse 1–0 Strasbourg