Lyon vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 3 May, 20:45
Lyon
42 Full time
Rennes
Lyon 4–2 Rennes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 24%
Away 30%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1573 v 1591 Rennes rated higher
Form Index 2 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1573 vs 1591).
  • Rennes is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Rennes
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Rennes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonLDWWW2 ppg
RennesDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1573
Rennes1591
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 26% · 23%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning50% · 19% · 32%

AI match preview

Lyon host Rennes in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 47% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model projects an expected goals tally favoring Lyon at 1.82 compared to Rennes' 1.17, suggesting a competitive encounter likely to produce goals, with a 59% probability for both teams to score. While a 1-1 draw is the most probable exact score, the 58% chance of over 2.5 goals indicates attacking intent from both sides; remember, these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Lyon 4–2 Rennes
Sept 2025 Rennes 3–1 Lyon